维持性血液透析患者营养不良风险评估图的构建
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

女,硕士在读,学生

通讯作者:

基金项目:

四川省中医药管理局科学技术研究专项课题(2021MS153);成都医学院研究生科研创新基金项目(YCX2022-01-44)


Development of a diagram to predict malnutrition risk in maintenance hemodiaysis patients
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
    摘要:

    目的 构建维持性血液透析患者营养不良风险评估图并评价预测效能。方法 便利选取成都市6所血液净化中心1 355例维持性血液透析患者,根据控制营养状态评分分为营养正常组(n=1 030)和营养不良组(n=325),并回顾性收集营养状况评估前1个月营养相关影响因素。采用logistic回归分析确定独立危险因素,应用R 4.1.2软件划分营养不良风险等级节点并绘制风险评估图,使用Bootstrap自助抽样法对模型进行内部验证。结果 维持性血液透析患者营养不良发生率为23.99%;年龄≥60岁、并存糖尿病、尿素清除指数<1.2、近1个月内有透析中低血压发生史、甲状旁腺激素>600 pg/mL是维持性血液透析患者发生营养不良的危险因素(均P<0.05)。发病概率0.231、0.537是维持性血液透析患者发生营养不良低危、中危、高危的分级节点。构建的风险评估图模型,受试者操作特征曲线下面积为0.862,灵敏度为72.80%,特异度为91.50%。决策曲线分析显示模型在10%~94%的阈值概率具有临床净收益。结论 风险评估图可以帮助护士简便、早期识别维持性血液患者发生营养不良的风险人群,为进一步开展分级、分类护理提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Objective To develop a diagram for predicting malnutrition risk in patients on maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) and to assess the predictive validity. Methods A retrospective study was performed in six hemodialysis centers in Chengdu. A total of 1,355 MHD patients were recruited and divided into a normal nutrition group (n=1,030) and a malnutrition group (n=325) based on the controlling nutritional status score. Sociodemographic, laboratory and hemodialysis features one month before nutritional assessment were collected, then multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify the independent risk factors for malnutrition. Risk stratification and risk diagram were determined by R 4.1.2 software. The risk diagram model was internally validated using bootstrap method. Results The prevalence of malnutrition in MHD patients was 23.99%. Age≥60 years, coexisting diabetes mellitus, Kt/V<1.2, intradialytic hypotension within past 1 month, and parathyroid hormone (PTH)>600 pg/mL were risk factors for malnutrition in MHD patients (all P<0.05). Low-, medium-, and high-risk categories were created based on the probabilities of malnutrition of 0.231 and 0.537. The diagram model had good discrimination with an area under the ROC curve at 0.862, sensitivity of 72.80% and specificity of 91.50%. The decision curve analysis showed a satisfying net benefit for thresholds between 10% and 94%. Conclusion The diagram could help nurses easily identify patients at risk of malnutrition in MHD and provide reference for further stratified and classified care.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

马国婷,向雨荷,杨芹,李琴,辛军国,杨茜.维持性血液透析患者营养不良风险评估图的构建[J].护理学杂志,2023,38(2):34-39

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2022-08-08
  • 最后修改日期:2022-10-20
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-12-29