Caprini血栓评估量表在ICU非手术患者高危血栓风险预测中的应用
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Application of Caprini Risk Assessment Scale in non-surgical ICU patients for prediction of high risk thrombosis
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    摘要:

    目的 探讨Caprini风险评估量表在ICU 非手术患者中高危血栓风险的最佳界值。方法 采用回顾性病例对照研究,选取154 例ICU 非手术深静脉血栓形成(DVT)患者作为病例组,选择同时期入住ICU 的154例非手术非 DVT 患者作为对照组。运用受 试者工作特性曲线(ROC)分析 Caprini风险评估量表的准确度及高危血栓风险最佳临界值。结果 Caprini风险评估量表的 ROC 曲线下面积为0.709,95%CI 为0.655~0.759,当临界值为7分时,约登指数为0.331,灵敏度为70.78%,特异度为62.30%,阳 性预测值为65.27%,阴性预测值为68.09%。结论 Caprini风险评估量表在ICU 非手术患者高危血栓风险预测中的最佳界值为 7分,其可用于血栓风险评估。

    Abstract:

    Objective To explore the optimal high risk cut-off point of Caprini Risk Assessment Scale in non-surgical patients admitted to ICU.Methods A retrospective case-control study was conducted to recruit 154 non-surgical ICU patients who had a confirmed deep venous thrombosis (DVT) diagnosis as the case group, and another concurrent 154 non-surgical, non-DVT patients as the control group.The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was run to identify the accuracy and optimal high risk cut-off point of the Caprini Risk Assessment Scale.Results The area under ROC curve was 0.709 and 95% confidence interval was 0.655 to -0.759. With a cut-off point of 7,Youden′s index was the largest,at 0.331; the sensitivity was 70.78%, the specificity 62.30%,positive predictive value (PPV) was 65.27%,negative predictive value (NPV) was 68.09%.Conclusion A cut-off point of 7 for the Caprini Risk Assessment Scale is optimal for non-surgical ICU patients to screen high-risk cases.

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熊银环,许红梅. Caprini血栓评估量表在ICU非手术患者高危血栓风险预测中的应用[J].护理学杂志,2019,34(3):20-23

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  • 收稿日期:2018-09-27
  • 最后修改日期:2018-11-27
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-08-09