两种模型在神经外科术后恶心呕吐风险预测中的价值比较
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女,本科,副主任护师,护士长

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2020年度复旦大学-复星护理科研基金项目(FNF202072)


Comparison of the value of two models in predicting the risk of post-neurosurgical nausea and vomiting
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    摘要:

    目的 比较两种模型在预测神经外科术后恶心呕吐事件风险中的价值。方法 选取652例神经外科择期手术患者为研究对象,分别运用神经外科术后恶心呕吐预测模型和Apfel评分预测模型对患者发生术后呕吐的风险进行预测。记录术后24 h内恶心呕吐事件的发生情况,评价两种模型对神经外科患者术后恶心呕吐的预测效能。结果 患者术后恶心呕吐发生率为30.83%。Apfel预测模型的Youden指数为0.189,受试者工作曲线下面积为0.627(95%CI 0.588~0.664);神经外科术后恶心呕吐预测模型的Youden指数为0.335,受试者工作曲线下面积为0.727(95%CI 0.691~0.761)。结论 神经外科术后恶心呕吐预测模型较Apfel评分模型的整体预测效能更具有优势。

    Abstract:

    Objective To compare the value of two models in predicting the risk of post-neurosurgical nausea and vomiting (PONV). Methods A total of 652 patients undergoing elective neurosurgery were selected as the study subjects. The risk of postoperative nausea and vomiting in patients was predicted using the post-neurosurgical nausea and vomiting (PNSNV) prediction model and the Apfel score prediction model, respectively. The incidence of nausea and vomiting events within 24 hours after surgery was recorded, and the predictive efficacy of the two models for PONV in neurosurgical patients was evaluated. Results The incidence of PONV in patients was 30.83%. The Youden index of the Apfel prediction model was 0.189, and the area under the receiver ope-rating characteristic curve was 0.627 (95% CI 0.588-0.664); the Youden index of the PNSNV prediction model was 0.335, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.727 (95% CI 0.691-0.761). Conclusion The PNSNV prediction model has better overall predictive performance than the Apfel score model.

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吉莉,丁惠丽,朱孝思,张蕾.两种模型在神经外科术后恶心呕吐风险预测中的价值比较[J].护理学杂志,2023,28(14):46-48

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  • 收稿日期:2023-02-15
  • 最后修改日期:2023-04-20
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-01-13