基于SMOTE算法的声门型喉癌患者术后下呼吸道感染预警模型构建
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河南省医学科技攻关计划(201702196)


Establishment of a warning model of postoperative lower respiratory tract infection in patients with glottic carcinoma based on SMOTE algorithm
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    目的 构建基于SMOTE算法的声门型喉癌患者术后下呼吸道感染预警模型,为临床预防患者术后下呼吸道感染提供参考。方法 收集596例接受肿瘤根治手术的声门型喉癌患者临床资料,利用单因素比较和Logistic回归分析筛选术后下呼吸道感染的影响因素,采用SMOTE算法对影响因素的原始数据集进行重建,得到基于SMOTE算法的声门型喉癌患者术后下呼吸道感染预警模型。结果 术后共38例(6.38%)患者发生下呼吸道感染。Logistic回归分析可得,年龄、BMI值、吸烟史、糖尿病、肺部疾病、手术类型、术后吸痰、术中出血量、术后拔管时间和使用人工鼻是声门型喉癌患者术后下呼吸道感染的影响因素(均P<0.01)。原始预测模型和基于SMOTE算法的预警模型比较,真阳性率差异无统计学意义,阳性预测值、F值、ROC曲线下面积差异有统计学意义(P<0.05,P<0.01)。 结论 基于SMOTE算法构建的预警模型优于原始预测模型,能准确预警喉癌患者术后下呼吸道感染,可基于预测结果采取针对性措施预防喉癌患者术后下呼吸道感染。

    Abstract:

    Objective To construct a warning model of lower respiratory tract infection in patients with glottic carcinoma based on SMOTE algorithm, so as to provide reference for preventing postoperative lower respiratory tract infection of these patients in clinic. Methods The clinical data of 596 glottic carcinoma patients undergoing tumor radical operation were investigated, and single factor comparison and logistic regression analysis were utilized to screen the influencing factors of postoperative lower respiratory tract infection, then the original data set of influencing factors was reconstructed using the SMOTE algorithm to obtain a warning model of postoperative lower respiratory tract infection for glottic carcinoma patients. Results Totally 38 patients (6.38%) suffered from postoperative lower respiratory tract infection. Logistic regression analysis revealed that, age, BMI, smoking history, diabetes, lung disease, operation type, postoperative sputum aspiration, intraoperative bleeding volume, postoperative extubation time and use of artificial nose were the influencing factors of postoperative lower respiratory tract infection for glottic carcinoma patients (P<0.01 for all). When compared the origin warning model with the warning model based on SMOTE algorithm, there was no significant difference in TPR, while the PPV, F-score and AUC were significant (P<0.05, P<0.01). Conclusion The warning model based on SMOTE algorithm is better than the original one, which can accurately predict postoperative lower respiratory tract infection for laryngeal cancer patients, then take targeted intervention to prevent postoperative lower respiratory tract infection.

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马灵草,董婷,戴晗青,岳红,陈海芳,臧艳姿.基于SMOTE算法的声门型喉癌患者术后下呼吸道感染预警模型构建[J].护理学杂志,2021,36(8):1-4

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  • 收稿日期:2020-11-08
  • 最后修改日期:2020-12-30
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-09-16